Blaine_Gabbert

Gabbert and the 26-27-60 Rule

For those of you that haven’t been following The Jaggernaut all that long, Adam Stites wrote about the 26-27-60 rule of quarterbacks back in March. Here is a pretty good explanation of the rule as it pertains to rookie quarterbacks:

“Here is the gist of it: If an NFL prospect scores at least a 26 on the Wonderlic test, starts at least 27 games in his college career and completes at least 60 percent of his passes, there’s a good chance he will succeed at the NFL level.” – John P. Lopez (SI.com)

So as we revisit this “rule” that some rather superstitious draft junkies may live by, we need to take a look at the guys that “pass” all three measures of the test. Those rookie quarterbacks are Blaine Gabbert, Christian Ponder, and Andy Dalton. Take a look at those names, and compare them to other big-time names in this draft: Cam Newton, Jake Locker, Colin Kaepernick, and Ryan Mallett. Are you seeing similarities amongst the groups? No? Let’s take a deeper look.

The guys in the first group are accurate passers. I know that seems like a mundane thing to say in regards to determining what kind of guy makes a good NFL quarterback, but only Cam Newton passed the completion percentage part of the test, and failed the test as a whole. We’ll set aside my personal feelings on Cam Newton and analyze the guys that passed the test.

Blaine Gabbert is going to a great situation. Yes, it’s possible that Jack Del Rio will be gone when Gabbert takes the reigns, but he also gets to sit and watch how a veteran quarterback, David Garrard, prepares and functions for games. Gabbert also will work under one of the rising assistant coaches in the league, Dirk Koetter. Koetter is a master of adapting a game-plan to a quarterback’s skill set, and it should be a great match.

Christian Ponder will have a difficult time in Minnesota, and Andy Dalton will face similar problems (compounded by one of the worst owners in professional sports). If we accept that the 26-27-60 rule holds some sort of predicting power, we see that it’s possible (if not likely) that Blaine Gabbert will enjoy a better pro career than any other QB taken in this year’s.

There it is, I said it. Blaine Gabbert will have a great career. Don’t believe me? Just look at this highly scientific formula. It’s all the proof a real homer needs.

Shane Clemons

About Shane Clemons

Shane Clemons came from humble beginnings creating his own Jaguars blog before moving on to SBNation as a featured writer for the Jaguars. He then moved to Bloguin where he briefly covered the AFC South before taking over Bloguin's Jaguars blog. Since the inception of This Given Sunday, Shane has served as an editor for the site, doing his best not to mess up a good thing.

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